Below you will find an early 2013 Fantasy Football Dynasty Mock Draft. This mock draft took place on our live chat feature, which is located at the bottom right of the site (and this page) – If you haven’t used it yet, jump on it and talk fantasy football with other mock draft users!
The participants in this mock draft were a combination of DraftCalc subscribers, moderators and writers, so it’s a great mix of fantasy scouting talent – There was no set draft order, we all just fired out selections with the only rule being no one could select twice in a row. Enjoy!
Scoring/Format: This mock draft was based off of a dynasty, PPR format.
2013 Fantasy Football Dynasty Mock Draft
1.01 – Adrian Peterson (Smitty)
1.02 – Doug Martin (WTCM)
1.03 – CJ Spiller (tmoney)
1.04 – Trent Richardson (Smitty)
1.05 – Ray Rice (WTCM)
1.06 – Calvin Johnson (TBCF)
1.07 – Arian Foster (tmoney)
1.08 – AJ Green (jknighton)
1.09 – Jamaal Charles (WTCM)
1.10 – Marshawn Lynch (winonemore)
1.11 – Julio Jones (Smitty)
1.12 – LeSean McCoy (TBCF)
Smitty’s Take: There were actually no real surprises in the first-round of this mock draft, except for maybe Aaron Rodgers not getting drafted in it. Who would I bump out of the first-round, though? Well, that’s the tough part, as all of the names listed above are deserving of a top 12 overall pick; if forced to single out one player, I’d probably give Marshawn Lynch’s spot to Rodgers, but again, Lynch’s place in the first-round is arguable… Some will say that CJ Spiller is just too high at 1.03, but I honestly think that he is a good bet to produce top 2-5 fantasy running back numbers in 2013… I feel the same way about Trent Richardson, who was drafted at 1.04, but my guess is Richardson will be a regular 1.03-1.06 selection in upcoming 2013 fantasy football drafts, whereas Spiller may slip a little further than 1.03-1.06 in most drafts. It’s early, Spiller could lock into that 2-3 overall range, but I think we here at DraftCalc, users and staffers, are a bit ahead of the curve on the CJ Spiller Breakout Show that airs in September of 2013. If I had to guess, come August, Spiller’s ADP will settle around 1.07-1.12 and Richardson’s ADP will remain around 1.04-1.06. Great news for all of us Spiller owners and believers… Ray Rice (1.05) and Arian Foster (1.07) are both still 1.01 capable in dynasty start-ups, so we can actually label both as first-round steals in this mock… Foster falling past 1.05-1.06 is starting to look like a trend so far this off-season, which is great news for those that still believe that he still has 2-3 elite seasons left in the tank… LeSean McCoy is a tough player to rank heading into 2013, and right here I write about how the runner is a huge dynasty risk unless you handcuff him to Bryce Brown… Brown has to be one of the most important handcuffs we’ve come across in years. Owning both runners is a pretty safe bet for strong RB1-type numbers, and the combo actually feels about as safe as any running back taken as high as 1.05 above; however, without Brown (meaning only McCoy is owned), well, that approach is about as worrisome to me as McCoy playing without a helmet on Sundays. I’m not claiming that Brown is as good as McCoy, in fact it’s not even close; however, that locked-up situation will produce elite numbers regardless of who is getting the carries. Read more on that situation here.
2.01 – Dez Bryant (WTCM)
2.02 – Aaron Rodgers (tmoney)[level-all]
2.03 – Jimmy Graham (WTCM)
2.04 – Demaryius Thomas (slimkilla99)
2.05 – Alfred Morris (Smitty)
2.06 – Rob Gonkowski (jknighton)
2.07 – Demarco Murray (tmoney)
2.08 – Brandon Marshall (TBCF0
2.09 – Lamar Miller (WTCM)
2.10 – Tom Brady (slimkilla99)
2.11 – Cam Newton (jknighton)
2.12 – Matt Forte (winonemore)
Smitty’s Take: As mentioned above, Aaron Rodgers at 2.02 seems a bit off, at least in terms of where I think he will go, on average, in most upcoming 2013 dynasty fantasy football drafts; I think Rodgers belongs in the 2.08-2.12 range. While I’m not suggesting that Demaryius Thomas can’t earn early second-round value in 2013 and beyond, I don’t think the second-round is a safe place to grab this upside receiver. I think he is a safer third-drafted player entering 2013, and if he goes before that, I say so be it. I won’t argue that Thomas has elite fantasy WR1 appeal, but call me slightly cautious with this one…The shock of this round, and the shock of the entire draft, has to be Lamar Miller at 2.09. The selection was by Wutthecrapman, one of our moderators here at DraftCalc… while I give him a ton of credit for making a statement with this pick, it is definitely a reach, as his ADP in redraft formats appears to be around the 10th- to 11th-round range. His 2013 dynasty ADP is hard to calculate here in early March, as there is not a lot of settled dynasty ADP data floating around just yet… my guess, though, is that you will soon see Miller in the 6th- to 9th-round range in most dynasty start-up drafts. So, if Miller is your guy this year, don’t grab him too early (and I only say that because you don’t have to grab him that early)… Cam Newton is a bargain at 2.11, and I was shocked to see him get selected after Tom Brady… that said, I think Brady, and Drew Brees (drafted down in the third-round), are overlooked in dynasty formats, as both have at least 2-3 more elite years left, and that is a long time… Most will argue that Matt Forte is a reach at 2.12, but I say that’s good value. I think Forte can still be a top 5-7 fantasy rusher, and anytime you can land a talent like that in the second-round, that’s solid. And, anytime you can land a talent like that in the third-round, even better. In fact, Forte in the third is how you build a championship team!
3.01 – Darren McFadden (tmoney)
3.02 – Victor Cruz (jknighton)
3.03 – Andre Johnson (TBCF)
3.04 – David Wilson (WTCM)
3.05 – Chris Johnson (winonemore)
3.06 – Maurice Jones-Drew (TBCF)
3.07 – Percy Harvin (jknighton)
3.08 – Stevan Ridley (WTCM)
3.09 – Robert Griffin III (winonemore)
3.10 – Drew Brees (TBCF)
3.11 – Larry Fitzgerald (Smitty)
3.12 – Randall Cobb (tmoney)
Smitty’s Take: As I said above, Drew Brees at 3.10 is just ridiculous value. Same thing goes for Robert Griffin III! You’d think this is a redraft mock by the looks of where RG3 was slotted… I think any one of RG3, Brady or Brees in the third-round is a recipe for winning a couple league championships (especially when it comes to RG3)… Victor Cruz is one of my favorite low-end fantasy WR1s heading into 2013 drafts. He has so much upside, yet he can be had at the tail-end of all of the WR1s… David Wilson at 3.04 is a solid rank; while I think that he still has a lot to prove before he cements himself into that kind of placement, I think the runner has been getting snagged a bit too high in many early 2013 fantasy football mocks. He absolutely has elite upside, I just think being able to draft him near the end of the third, or beginning of the fourth, is a bit safer than snagging him too early. Getting him in the 3rd- to 4th-round range leaves more room for upside… Don’t overlook Larry Fitzgerald in dynasty formats, as he could rebound with a new coaching staff, and he could very well have 2-3 elite years left. I know, Fitz has likely burned many of you over the last two seasons, but that’s why he is falling into the 3rd- and 4th-rounds. At some point doubt pushes a player into undervalued territory, and I believe that is what is happening with Fitz; it’s time to realize that there is huge potential for the receiver in this draft range… Chris Johnson, love him or hate him, is worth middle-to-late third-round value. In fact, he should earn that value no problem, and if he rebounds in 2013, well, there again is that recipe for winning a league!
4.01 – Wes Welker (winonemore)
4.02 – Vincent Jackson (TBCF)
4.03 – Hakeem Nicks (jknighton)
4.04 – Michael Crabtree (WTCM)
4.05 – Roddy White (TBCF)
4.06 – Andrew Luck (WTCM)
4.07 – Mike Wallace (winonemore)
4.08 – Ryan Mathews (TBCF)
4.09 – Darren Sproles (jknighton)
4.10 – Russell Wilson (WTCM)
4.11 – Frank Gore (TBCF)
4.12 – Montee Ball (smitty)
Smitty’s Take: Many have suggested to me that I don’t give Michael Crabtree enough credit on the DraftCalc rankings… this might be true, however, Crabs has a little more to prove to me before I start moving him ahead of some of the other more proven names on our rankings lists… Crabs is very reliant on Colin Kaepernick staying healthy, and because Crabs has been dormant for so many fantasy seasons, there is good reason to be just a bit cautions with this one… Montee Ball going at 4.12 was my doing, and of course I’m assuming that he is going to land in an ideal landing spot this April. Clearly I will bump him out of my top four rounds if he ends up landing in a less than stellar environment, but we have to make assumptions when mock drafting in March, and a good landing spot is my assumption – for now.
5.01 – Ty Hilton (tmoney)
5.02 – Le’Veon Bell (jknighton)
5.03 – Giovanni Bernard (WTCM)
5.04 – Eric Decker (winonemore)
5.05 – Colin Kaepernick
5.06 – Pierre Garcon (TBCF)
5.07 – Knile Davis (Smitty)
5.08 – Marcus Lattimore (WTCM)
5.09 – Cordarrelle Patterson (jknighton)
5.10 – Matthew Stafford (tmoney)
5.11 – Josh Gordon (smitty)
5.12 – Geno Smith (WTCM)
Smitty’s Take: Everything I said up above about Montee Ball can be applied to all four of Le’Veon Bell (5.02), Giovanni Bernard (5.03), Knile Davis (5.07) and Marcus Lattimore (5.08)… landing spots are everything with these players, and any one of these guys, and including unlisted Eddie Lacy, could climb 2-3 rounds with a great landing spot, or sink 2-3 rounds with an awful landing spot. Just know that as you take in those selections… two of my favorite middle-round sleepers this year have to be TY Hilton and Josh Gordon; definitely draft these two as middle-round guys, though, because the value is in getting them late. Both receivers are easily fantasy WR2 capable! Know this!
Thanks to all who participated in this draft, which includes those of you who just watched the draft unfold via our new live chat feature (bottom right of this page).