Upside Board ADPs - Who is still a monster steal?

Please don't use names in this thread. Thanks.

Fresh ADP Data used, but with No. 8, it's tough because today a lot changed and no data is in hand yet.

Get trade offers out, just buy at these prices or only a touch higher. Not everyone trades their players, so don't force it if the owner is just not trading.

No. 1

Redraft 4.11 to 5.11 (win a league type steal!)

Dynasty: 66 overall, which is mid-5th (build a dynasty and win a league type steal!)

Comment1: The highest I've seen him go in fresh dynasty start ups, using a few sources averaged, is 4.10 and as late as 8.10. Act now, his redraft ADP just climbed on one source to 4.11

Comment 2: There still is no bigger steal in any draft/trading right now, redraft or dynasty, because this player can outscore everyone in fantasy. At even early 4th round value, that's called HUGE, HUGE upside.

No. 2

Redraft: 3.0 to 3.12

Dynasty: 3.06 to 3.08

Comment 1: Not a steal anymore, but still capable of outscoring this ADP by a good 12-15 slots, so that's still true Upside potential. Plus, he was on this Upside Board when in the 4th round, his ADP is climbing by the day.

No. 3

Redraft: 5.11 to 6.05

Dynasty: 5.10 to 6.07

Comment 1: Talk about still a steal. Yes, there is risk, no question, but not at even early 5th round value... even at late 4th, he has huge, huge upside.

No. 4

Redraft: 5th round

Dynasty: 5th round, maybe 4th, too early to say how it's trending the last couple days

Comment 1: He was on the Upside Board at 6th to 8th round ADP in redraft and 6th in dynasty... He is inching closer to being grayed out on the Upside Board. He was the first player we fired off to ensure everyone got as quick a jump on his rise in value as possible Hopefully a lot of you got some trades pulled off because of it.

No. 5

Redraft: 9th

Dynasty: 10th+

Comment 1: Steal, low risk, his ADP should trend around this range, maybe a round higher, for a bit.

No. 8

Redraft: It was 12-15 rounds, but today's news might be changing that. How much? Tough to say.. even 9th round value has monster upside!

Dynasty: Was 10-12 rounds, but with today's news, he could jump 2-3 rounds, which he still has monster value with. Even 9th round value, even 7th has huge appeal.

Comment 1: This one might get grayed out quick if things keep heading in the direction we think they will. Buy low now, even at a couple rounds ahead of what use to be his ADP as of yesterday.

+I'd say at this point #3 and #4 probably still provide the most upside. Number 4 is a very polarizing player and there are plenty still very skeptical of him. So the value can still be there with certain owners. #3 may or may not still provide great upside depending on how FA shakes out in the next few weeks.

The one I'm actually most worried about is #2. I like him plenty, but the upside is starting to be cooked into his price. Plus his situation is still less than set in stone. I've also read reports about the FA RBs finding a very soft market. If this proves to be true, it could definitely affect the value of #2.

I think #3 has the most upside. Hard to believe he went in round 10 of my startup a month ago.

jknighton said:

I think #3 has the most upside. Hard to believe he went in round 10 of my startup a month ago.

Yeah, he won't be a steal in every league, but he sure is in many! Nice job. Lots of risk prior to FA, but at that value it's built in and some!!!!!

branch0095 said:

+I'd say at this point #3 and #4 probably still provide the most upside. Number 4 is a very polarizing player and there are plenty still very skeptical of him. So the value can still be there with certain owners. #3 may or may not still provide great upside depending on how FA shakes out in the next few weeks.

The one I'm actually most worried about is #2. I like him plenty, but the upside is starting to be cooked into his price. Plus his situation is still less than set in stone. I've also read reports about the FA RBs finding a very soft market. If this proves to be true, it could definitely affect the value of #2.

Good take. Yep, 2 does have worry, that's why it's on the UB... wouldn't have easy calls on here. No. 8 is climbing fast, but in my defense, I did have him 8-12 hours up before that Rotoworld/ESPN report released today that throws more support behind the idea that two players could be cut on his team. :) There were rumors, but rumors didn't move ADPs like that did. But still, I think it only moves it 1-2 rounds. He still has HUGE upside (No. 8).

Edit: No. 3 rocks. His trade value is silly-low, especially if you do a trade where you send off Spiller for No.3+Cruz or No. 2+Allen.

Smitty said:

+I'd say at this point #3 and #4 probably still provide the most upside. Number 4 is a very polarizing player and there are plenty still very skeptical of him. So the value can still be there with certain owners. #3 may or may not still provide great upside depending on how FA shakes out in the next few weeks.

The one I'm actually most worried about is #2. I like him plenty, but the upside is starting to be cooked into his price. Plus his situation is still less than set in stone. I've also read reports about the FA RBs finding a very soft market. If this proves to be true, it could definitely affect the value of #2.

Good take. Yep, 2 does have worry, that's why it's on the UB... wouldn't have easy calls on here. No. 8 is climbing fast, but in my defense, I did have him 8-12 hours up before that Rotoworld/ESPN report released today that throws more support behind the idea that two players could be cut on his team. :) There were rumors, but rumors didn't move ADPs like that did. But still, I think it only moves it 1-2 rounds. He still has HUGE upside (No. 8).

No. 2 rocks. His trade value is silly-low, especially if you do a trade where you send off Spiller for No.2+Cruz or No. 2+Allen.

Unfortunately he is not valued this way in the league's I'm in, I wish he were. I pursued him in several leagues and was confronted with mid RB1 prices.

branch0095 said:

Smitty said:

+I'd say at this point #3 and #4 probably still provide the most upside. Number 4 is a very polarizing player and there are plenty still very skeptical of him. So the value can still be there with certain owners. #3 may or may not still provide great upside depending on how FA shakes out in the next few weeks.

The one I'm actually most worried about is #2. I like him plenty, but the upside is starting to be cooked into his price. Plus his situation is still less than set in stone. I've also read reports about the FA RBs finding a very soft market. If this proves to be true, it could definitely affect the value of #2.

Good take. Yep, 2 does have worry, that's why it's on the UB... wouldn't have easy calls on here. No. 8 is climbing fast, but in my defense, I did have him 8-12 hours up before that Rotoworld/ESPN report released today that throws more support behind the idea that two players could be cut on his team. :) There were rumors, but rumors didn't move ADPs like that did. But still, I think it only moves it 1-2 rounds. He still has HUGE upside (No. 8).

No. 2 rocks. His trade value is silly-low, especially if you do a trade where you send off Spiller for No.2+Cruz or No. 2+Allen.

Unfortunately he is not valued this way in the league's I'm in, I wish he were. I pursued him in several leagues and was confronted with mid RB1 prices.

I meant No. 3, sorry. :)

Not a chance in hell you can trade Spiller for #3/Allen or Cruz..

Allen is being drafted ahead of spiller himself

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Get trade offers out, just buy at these prices or only a touch higher. Not everyone trades their players, so don't force it if the owner is just not trading.