DC: Eight Burning Questions article published! More questions to talk about here!!

https://draftcalc.com/fantasy-football-content/sleepers/six-burning-questions-fantasy-football-2013/

Below are some questions that didn't make the article, so let's talk about them here!!!!

Bonus Topics Just to Discuss Here:

In startup dynasty drafts that include rookies, what round would you feel safe taking one without knowing a landing spot?

Which backups will score more points than the starter? decker, Shonn green, ryan williams, leshoure

Which 30 year old running backs are actually going to succumb to the 30 year old wall?

Last year several records for a rookie class as a whole were broke, which high performing rookies do you see having sophomore slumps?

What affects to fantasy production do you expect to see from coaching changes in IND,CHI,PHI,KC,SD,CLE,ARI,BUF?

In startup dynasty drafts that include rookies, what round would you feel safe taking one without knowing a landing spot?

I gotta know! Lol mainly the WRs not really the RBs

jknighton said:

In startup dynasty drafts that include rookies, what round would you feel safe taking one without knowing a landing spot?

I gotta know! Lol mainly the WRs not really the RBs

That's tough. I would say you'd be "reckless" to grab a rookie anywhere near the 5th or 6th rounds? I have Ball near the start of the 5th on my Top 200 list for dynasty... but, that doesn't mean you take him there. That's bold, and likely to change, and we don't even know where the landing spots are, and if coaches believe, if the situations warrant playing time.

I know you say WRS, but Ball is my first rookie listed, so if a WR is near Ball's value in your eyes (meaning that's your No. 1 rookie), man, I think you could want to take a rookie in the 5th, or even 4th, once we have landing spots, but even knowing who the most talented players are with our own eyes, landing what players actually land in the good spots, that's all roll of the dice. Lacy could be the number one back by default due to landing spot, something I won't support long-term, but the same thing could go down with Patterson, or DeAndre Hopkins. Either could be 5th to 6th round material, and that would be INSANELY BOLD THOUGH... but either could be if in the right spot. What's the right spot? That's even hard to say at this point.

So, all in all, know that later you could regret "waiting" on the rookies, but that will all be hindsight stuff... right now, you just can't take a rookie higher than round 5 or 6, no matter what IMO. And even then, that's early, and what if you grab the wrong one? Drafting a start up prior is madness, but I love it :) There is strategy in that, so I actually find that fun. Ball, Knile Davis, Bell.. one of those guys could be elite.. which one? Your landing spot guesses are as good as mine. And the receivers, wow, that's even tougher to predict.

Great job Smitty....u have B Myers twice in the article, FYI

You da man Smitty!
Quickly, Crabtree does have a 1,000 yard season; went for 85/1105/9 last year.

nice job Smitty

Great read

so based on the downside board player #2, which of his backups would you rather own? I currently have both in a $100 salary league at 1 dollar a piece, but would like to cut ties with one of them for another roster spot. who would you rather keep?

footballjunkie said:

You da man Smitty!
Quickly, Crabtree does have a 1,000 yard season; went for 85/1105/9 last year.

Good catch. Thanks.

cohendpt said:

so based on the downside board player #2, which of his backups would you rather own? I currently have both in a $100 salary league at 1 dollar a piece, but would like to cut ties with one of them for another roster spot. who would you rather keep?

Probably James, as Achilles injuries are TOUGH to come back from. But, if not hurt last year, I would have said Hunter all the way. So tough at this point, as it's only March. Honestly, it's such a waste, but I might own all three. That's tough to do, but so is watching one of these guys get Frank Gore's production?

SweetLew said:

Great read

Thanks

rabidbucfan said:

nice job Smitty

Thanks

footballjunkie said:

You da man Smitty!
Quickly, Crabtree does have a 1,000 yard season; went for 85/1105/9 last year.

Thanks again, Fixed the Crabs mistake.

Troy_Polamalyourass said:

Great job Smitty....u have B Myers twice in the article, FYI

Thanks.

Smitty said:

jknighton said:

In startup dynasty drafts that include rookies, what round would you feel safe taking one without knowing a landing spot?

I gotta know! Lol mainly the WRs not really the RBs

That's tough. I would say you'd be "reckless" to grab a rookie anywhere near the 5th or 6th rounds? I have Ball near the start of the 5th on my Top 200 list for dynasty... but, that doesn't mean you take him there. That's bold, and likely to change, and we don't even know where the landing spots are, and if coaches believe, if the situations warrant playing time.

I know you say WRS, but Ball is my first rookie listed, so if a WR is near Ball's value in your eyes (meaning that's your No. 1 rookie), man, I think you could want to take a rookie in the 5th, or even 4th, once we have landing spots, but even knowing who the most talented players are with our own eyes, landing what players actually land in the good spots, that's all roll of the dice. Lacy could be the number one back by default due to landing spot, something I won't support long-term, but the same thing could go down with Patterson, or DeAndre Hopkins. Either could be 5th to 6th round material, and that would be INSANELY BOLD THOUGH... but either could be if in the right spot. What's the right spot? That's even hard to say at this point.

So, all in all, know that later you could regret "waiting" on the rookies, but that will all be hindsight stuff... right now, you just can't take a rookie higher than round 5 or 6, no matter what IMO. And even then, that's early, and what if you grab the wrong one? Drafting a start up prior is madness, but I love it :) There is strategy in that, so I actually find that fun. Ball, Knile Davis, Bell.. one of those guys could be elite.. which one? Your landing spot guesses are as good as mine. And the receivers, wow, that's even tougher to predict.

Anyone else have any advice here? This was a tough question, and want to give Jknighton a great answer. Other advice? I quoted what he said and what I said above... add what you can!

Smitty said:

Smitty said:

jknighton said:

In startup dynasty drafts that include rookies, what round would you feel safe taking one without knowing a landing spot?

I gotta know! Lol mainly the WRs not really the RBs

That's tough. I would say you'd be "reckless" to grab a rookie anywhere near the 5th or 6th rounds? I have Ball near the start of the 5th on my Top 200 list for dynasty... but, that doesn't mean you take him there. That's bold, and likely to change, and we don't even know where the landing spots are, and if coaches believe, if the situations warrant playing time.

I know you say WRS, but Ball is my first rookie listed, so if a WR is near Ball's value in your eyes (meaning that's your No. 1 rookie), man, I think you could want to take a rookie in the 5th, or even 4th, once we have landing spots, but even knowing who the most talented players are with our own eyes, landing what players actually land in the good spots, that's all roll of the dice. Lacy could be the number one back by default due to landing spot, something I won't support long-term, but the same thing could go down with Patterson, or DeAndre Hopkins. Either could be 5th to 6th round material, and that would be INSANELY BOLD THOUGH... but either could be if in the right spot. What's the right spot? That's even hard to say at this point.

So, all in all, know that later you could regret "waiting" on the rookies, but that will all be hindsight stuff... right now, you just can't take a rookie higher than round 5 or 6, no matter what IMO. And even then, that's early, and what if you grab the wrong one? Drafting a start up prior is madness, but I love it :) There is strategy in that, so I actually find that fun. Ball, Knile Davis, Bell.. one of those guys could be elite.. which one? Your landing spot guesses are as good as mine. And the receivers, wow, that's even tougher to predict.

Anyone else have any advice here? This was a tough question, and want to give Jknighton a great answer. Other advice? I quoted what he said and what I said above... add what you can!

What about Hopkins at the end of the 6th?

i play in alot of 16 team leagues rookies come off around rd 6.. in a 12 man league i would say around late 7th or 8th..

jknighton said:

Smitty said:

Smitty said:

jknighton said:

In startup dynasty drafts that include rookies, what round would you feel safe taking one without knowing a landing spot?

I gotta know! Lol mainly the WRs not really the RBs

That's tough. I would say you'd be "reckless" to grab a rookie anywhere near the 5th or 6th rounds? I have Ball near the start of the 5th on my Top 200 list for dynasty... but, that doesn't mean you take him there. That's bold, and likely to change, and we don't even know where the landing spots are, and if coaches believe, if the situations warrant playing time.

I know you say WRS, but Ball is my first rookie listed, so if a WR is near Ball's value in your eyes (meaning that's your No. 1 rookie), man, I think you could want to take a rookie in the 5th, or even 4th, once we have landing spots, but even knowing who the most talented players are with our own eyes, landing what players actually land in the good spots, that's all roll of the dice. Lacy could be the number one back by default due to landing spot, something I won't support long-term, but the same thing could go down with Patterson, or DeAndre Hopkins. Either could be 5th to 6th round material, and that would be INSANELY BOLD THOUGH... but either could be if in the right spot. What's the right spot? That's even hard to say at this point.

So, all in all, know that later you could regret "waiting" on the rookies, but that will all be hindsight stuff... right now, you just can't take a rookie higher than round 5 or 6, no matter what IMO. And even then, that's early, and what if you grab the wrong one? Drafting a start up prior is madness, but I love it :) There is strategy in that, so I actually find that fun. Ball, Knile Davis, Bell.. one of those guys could be elite.. which one? Your landing spot guesses are as good as mine. And the receivers, wow, that's even tougher to predict.

Anyone else have any advice here? This was a tough question, and want to give Jknighton a great answer. Other advice? I quoted what he said and what I said above... add what you can!

What about Hopkins at the end of the 6th?

But do teams believe in him like we do? Will he be in a position to be a stud like we hope? It's tough grabbing a rookie that early. You almost have to assume others won't either, so you should get them late as well. Let's put it this way, I think I took Robert Griffin III in the 5th in an expert start up a year ago and that was with knowing his landing spot. Clearly it was good pick, but most thought it was way too early, and thus you know the 5th probably won't see rookies, unless someone is just really high on someone, and even then, you'd expect that kind of reach after landing spots? It's hard to predict... great question. Other thoughts?

bddavidson said:

i play in alot of 16 team leagues rookies come off around rd 6.. in a 12 man league i would say around late 7th or 8th..

Thanks for weighing in, BDD.

smitty....what are your thoughts on finley resigning with packers? I remember you were very high on him before. Thanks!

PhillyPanthers said:

smitty....what are your thoughts on finley resigning with packers? I remember you were very high on him before. Thanks!

I love his skill set but its time to only buy low. He makes a fine low end TE1 and you may even get him at later value. That puts him back in the low risk high reward group, which is actually great. Not sure why his talents aren't shinning through yet.

I like taking chances so I grabbed Hopkins at 6.09 before I seen this. I can still get some good WR depth though. Rookie RBs intrigue me but I'm not sure exactly where I would take that chance on one. I'm guessing late 8th - 10th?

jknighton said:

I like taking chances so I grabbed Hopkins at 6.09 before I seen this. I can still get some good WR depth though. Rookie RBs intrigue me but I'm not sure exactly where I would take that chance on one. I'm guessing late 8th - 10th?

Hey man, I love the kid, and if a team believes in him like I do, you will be sitting in a nice position. Let's hope he can get a WR1 slot on some team with a good passer!

Smitty said:

jknighton said:

I like taking chances so I grabbed Hopkins at 6.09 before I seen this. I can still get some good WR depth though. Rookie RBs intrigue me but I'm not sure exactly where I would take that chance on one. I'm guessing late 8th - 10th?

Hey man, I love the kid, and if a team believes in him like I do, you will be sitting in a nice position. Let's hope he can get a WR1 slot on some team with a good passer!

Looks like your boys in the expert draft are liking him too, taking him at 1.04 maybe the word is starting to spread about Mr. Hopkins??

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