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I know this is a slightly different way to look at it but perhaps helpful. It depends on your opponent. If you are playing a superior team you need to swing for the fences and be willing to take your medicine if you pick wrong, if you are fairly evenly matched I would go for the most guaranteed points as my chance to win take a big hit if I strike out - From this viewpoint you could find yourself picking Foles and Spiller as they seem to have that potential for a high high ceiling game
Analysis: Spiller was held to six yards on 13 carries by the Jets' elite run defense prior to the Week 12 bye. That disaster is firmly in the rearview mirror as his ankle should be near 100 percent and the Bills face the Falcons' No. 28 run defense this week. "I feel good," Spiller said. "I definitely feel like I'm getting back to my old self, making the cuts, making that explosion." Our Patrick Daugherty has ranked Spiller 24th and Fred Jackson 20th among running backs this week.
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